Recent-results contrast
Verified source factIpswich Town FC: 2-1-7; AFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Ipswich
Bournemouth
Ipswich vs Bournemouth
Portman Road · Sun, Nov 8, 2:00 PM UTC
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Football
IpswichBournemouth
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Checking eligible predictions for Ipswich vs Bournemouth…
FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Bournemouth are favourites
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Ipswich 40% versus Bournemouth 0%, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes bournemouth are favourites.
Bournemouth are favouritesSeason win rate: Ipswich 40% vs Bournemouth 0%Ipswich Town FC 2-1-7; AFC Bournemouth 2-6-2 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionBournemouth are favourites
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Ipswich 40% versus Bournemouth 0%, using the displayed verified samples.
Ipswich27%
Draw23%
Bournemouth50%
Reconciled comparison
Season win rate
40%Ipswich · n=5
0%Bournemouth · n=5
Average points margin
-0.8 pointsIpswich · n=5
-0.4 pointsBournemouth · n=5
Average points conceded
2.2 pointsIpswich · n=5
1.6 pointsBournemouth · n=5
Average points scored
1.4 pointsIpswich · n=5
1.2 pointsBournemouth · n=5
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Ipswich fell from 100% to 0%. Bournemouth was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
Ipswich · n=5Bournemouth · n=5
8/22/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Ipswich · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Ipswich · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Ipswich · 9/4/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Ipswich · 9/12/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Ipswich · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Bournemouth · 8/23/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Bournemouth · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationIpswich Town FC average 1.00 goals scored per match against an AFC Bournemouth record of 1.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.40 scored versus 2.20 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationIpswich Town FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 1-0-9; AFC Bournemouth's latest 10 verified away matches produced 5-4-1.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factAFC Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich Town FC on 2 Apr 2025.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Ipswich Town FC: 2-1-7; AFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.2 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 6.0 · n=6,098
Ipswich Town FC 1–1 AFC Bournemouth10.3%
Ipswich Town FC 1–2 AFC Bournemouth9.5%
Ipswich Town FC 0–1 AFC Bournemouth7.9%
Ipswich Town FC 0–2 AFC Bournemouth7.3%
Ipswich Town FC 2–1 AFC Bournemouth6.7%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/23/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 7:43:05 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · upcoming
Your event briefing
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • Portman Road
Sources: Competition information · Supporting event information · checked 10/20/2026
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 6:54 PM
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