Recent-results contrast
Verified source factAFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2; Tottenham Hotspur FC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Bournemouth
Spurs
Bournemouth vs Spurs
Vitality Stadium · Wed, Mar 3, 8:00 PM UTC
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Football
BournemouthSpurs
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Checking eligible predictions for Bournemouth vs Spurs…
FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Bournemouth are favourites
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Bournemouth -0.4 points versus Spurs -2 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes bournemouth are favourites.
Bournemouth are favouritesAverage points margin: Bournemouth -0.4 points vs Spurs -2 pointsAFC Bournemouth 2-6-2; Tottenham Hotspur FC 3-2-5 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionBournemouth are favourites
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Bournemouth -0.4 points versus Spurs -2 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Bournemouth53%
Draw23%
Spurs24%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
-0.4 pointsBournemouth · n=5
-2 pointsSpurs · n=3
Average points scored
1.2 pointsBournemouth · n=5
0.67 pointsSpurs · n=3
Average points conceded
1.6 pointsBournemouth · n=5
2.67 pointsSpurs · n=3
Season win rate
0%Bournemouth · n=5
0%Spurs · n=3
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Bournemouth was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Spurs was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
Bournemouth · n=5Spurs · n=3
8/22/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–0 percent
Accessible observation details
- Bournemouth · 8/23/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Bournemouth · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Spurs · 8/22/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Spurs · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Spurs · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationAFC Bournemouth average 1.40 goals scored per match against an Tottenham Hotspur FC record of 1.50 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.00 scored versus 1.20 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationAFC Bournemouth's latest 10 verified home matches produced 2-7-1; Tottenham Hotspur FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 2-2-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factAFC Bournemouth 3-2 Tottenham Hotspur FC on 7 Jan 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
AFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2; Tottenham Hotspur FC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.0 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur FC10.5%
AFC Bournemouth 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur FC9.8%
AFC Bournemouth 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC8.9%
AFC Bournemouth 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC8.3%
AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur FC6.2%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/23/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 11:43:14 PM · freshness fresh.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Venue / location
- • Vitality Stadium
Sources: Competition information · checked 10/27/2026
Fan community
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 8:21 PM
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