Recent-results contrast
Verified source factHull City AFC: 3-2-5; Sunderland AFC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
VS
Hull
Sunderland
Hull vs Sunderland
MKM Stadium · Wed, Feb 10, 8:00 PM UTC
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HullSunderland
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Checking eligible predictions for Hull vs Sunderland…
FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Hull have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull 0.5 points versus Sunderland -0.8 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes hull have a narrow statistical edge.
Hull have a narrow statistical edgeAverage points margin: Hull 0.5 points vs Sunderland -0.8 pointsHull City AFC 3-2-5; Sunderland AFC 3-2-5 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionHull have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull 0.5 points versus Sunderland -0.8 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Hull47%
Draw24%
Sunderland29%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
0.5 pointsHull · n=4
-0.8 pointsSunderland · n=5
Season win rate
50%Hull · n=4
20%Sunderland · n=5
Average points conceded
1 pointsHull · n=4
2 pointsSunderland · n=5
Average points scored
1.5 pointsHull · n=4
1.2 pointsSunderland · n=5
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Hull fell from 100% to 0%. Sunderland was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
Hull · n=4Sunderland · n=5
8/22/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Hull · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull · 8/29/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Hull · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Sunderland · 8/22/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Sunderland · 8/30/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Sunderland · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Sunderland · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Sunderland · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationHull City AFC average 1.00 goals scored per match against an Sunderland AFC record of 2.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.50 scored versus 2.00 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationHull City AFC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 7-1-2; Sunderland AFC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 3-3-4.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factHull City 0-2 Sunderland AFC on 6 May 2017.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Hull City AFC: 3-2-5; Sunderland AFC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 2.9 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Hull City AFC 1–1 Sunderland AFC11.3%
Hull City AFC 2–1 Sunderland AFC9.3%
Hull City AFC 1–0 Sunderland AFC8.9%
Hull City AFC 2–0 Sunderland AFC7.4%
Hull City AFC 1–2 Sunderland AFC7.1%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/22/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 11:13:09 PM · freshness fresh.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Available recent results
The available samples are incomplete or not comparable, so FansSpace is not naming an in-form side.
Sunderland
D L L L L
recent events; most recent first
Participants to watch
Sunderland: D L L L L across 5 verified results.
- • Hull
- • Sunderland
Venue / location
- • MKM Stadium
Fan community
- Who will win?
- Which matchup could decide this event?
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Updated Oct 28, 2026, 7:29 AM
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