Recent-results contrast
Verified source factHull City AFC: 3-2-5; Crystal Palace FC: 1-2-7 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
VS
Hull
Crystal Palace
Hull vs Crystal Palace
MKM Stadium · Sat, Jan 30, 3:00 PM UTC
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HullCrystal Palace
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Checking eligible predictions for Hull vs Crystal Palace…
FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Hull have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull 0.5 points versus Crystal Palace -1.25 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes hull have a narrow statistical edge.
Hull have a narrow statistical edgeAverage points margin: Hull 0.5 points vs Crystal Palace -1.25 pointsHull City AFC 3-2-5; Crystal Palace FC 1-2-7 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionHull have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull 0.5 points versus Crystal Palace -1.25 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Hull45%
Draw24%
Crystal Palace31%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
0.5 pointsHull · n=4
-1.25 pointsCrystal Palace · n=4
Average points conceded
1 pointsHull · n=4
2.75 pointsCrystal Palace · n=4
Season win rate
50%Hull · n=4
25%Crystal Palace · n=4
Average points scored
1.5 pointsHull · n=4
1.5 pointsCrystal Palace · n=4
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Hull fell from 100% to 0%. Crystal Palace was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
Hull · n=4Crystal Palace · n=4
8/22/2026 → 9/19/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Hull · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull · 8/29/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Hull · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Crystal Palace · 8/22/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Crystal Palace · 8/28/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Crystal Palace · 9/5/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Crystal Palace · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationHull City AFC average 1.00 goals scored per match against an Crystal Palace FC record of 2.60 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.20 scored versus 2.00 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationHull City AFC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 7-1-2; Crystal Palace FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 3-2-5.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factCrystal Palace 4-0 Hull City on 14 May 2017.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Hull City AFC: 3-2-5; Crystal Palace FC: 1-2-7 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 2.9 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Hull City AFC 1–1 Crystal Palace FC11.3%
Hull City AFC 2–1 Crystal Palace FC9.1%
Hull City AFC 1–0 Crystal Palace FC8.6%
Hull City AFC 1–2 Crystal Palace FC7.5%
Hull City AFC 0–1 Crystal Palace FC7.0%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/22/2026–9/12/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 10:47:43 PM · freshness fresh.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Available recent results
The available samples are incomplete or not comparable, so FansSpace is not naming an in-form side.
Crystal Palace
W D L W L
recent events; most recent first
Venue / location
- • MKM Stadium
Sources: Competition information · checked 10/27/2026
Fan community
- Who will win?
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 8:02 PM
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Hull- Crystal Palace
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