Recent-results contrast
Verified source factAFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2; Hull City AFC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Bournemouth
Hull
Bournemouth vs Hull
Vitality Stadium · Sat, Dec 5, 3:00 PM UTC
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BournemouthHull
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Checking eligible predictions for Bournemouth vs Hull…
FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Bournemouth are favourites
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Hull 50% versus Bournemouth 0%, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes bournemouth are favourites.
Bournemouth are favouritesSeason win rate: Bournemouth 0% vs Hull 50%AFC Bournemouth 2-6-2; Hull City AFC 3-2-5 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionBournemouth are favourites
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Hull 50% versus Bournemouth 0%, using the displayed verified samples.
Bournemouth51%
Draw23%
Hull26%
Reconciled comparison
Season win rate
0%Bournemouth · n=5
50%Hull · n=4
Average points margin
-0.4 pointsBournemouth · n=5
0.5 pointsHull · n=4
Average points conceded
1.6 pointsBournemouth · n=5
1 pointsHull · n=4
Average points scored
1.2 pointsBournemouth · n=5
1.5 pointsHull · n=4
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Bournemouth was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Hull fell from 100% to 0%.
Bournemouth · n=5Hull · n=4
8/22/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Bournemouth · 8/23/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Bournemouth · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Bournemouth · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Hull · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull · 8/29/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Hull · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationAFC Bournemouth average 1.40 goals scored per match against an Hull City AFC record of 2.00 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.00 scored versus 1.20 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationAFC Bournemouth's latest 10 verified home matches produced 2-7-1; Hull City AFC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 1-2-7.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factHull City 3-1 AFC Bournemouth on 14 Jan 2017.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
AFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2; Hull City AFC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.0 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Hull City AFC10.9%
AFC Bournemouth 2–1 Hull City AFC9.6%
AFC Bournemouth 1–0 Hull City AFC9.1%
AFC Bournemouth 2–0 Hull City AFC8.1%
AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Hull City AFC6.5%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/23/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 8:37:06 PM · freshness fresh.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Why it matters
Current verified standings: Manchester City FC P1 (6-0); Arsenal FC P2 (5-1); Brighton & Hove Albion FC P3 (4-1-1).
Available recent results
The available samples are incomplete or not comparable, so FansSpace is not naming an in-form side.
Bournemouth
W W L L D
current-season league; most recent first
Hull
D L D L D
current-season league; most recent first
Participants to watch
Bournemouth: W W L L D across 5 verified results; Hull: D L D L D across 5 verified results.
- • Bournemouth
- • Hull
Venue / location
- • Vitality Stadium
Fan community
- Who will win?
- Which matchup could decide this event?
- How are you following?
Updated Oct 28, 2026, 5:01 PM
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- Bournemouth
Hull
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