Recent-results contrast
Verified source factTottenham Hotspur FC: 3-2-5; Hull City AFC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
VS
Tottenham Hotspur FC
Hull City AFC
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Hull City AFC
England · Sat, Apr 24, 2027, 2:00 PM
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Football
Tottenham Hotspur FCHull City AFC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
No clear favourite
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull City AFC 0.5 points versus Tottenham Hotspur FC -2 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes no clear favourite.
No clear favouriteAverage points margin: Tottenham Hotspur FC -2 points vs Hull City AFC 0.5 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC 3-2-5; Hull City AFC 3-2-5 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionNo clear favourite
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull City AFC 0.5 points versus Tottenham Hotspur FC -2 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Tottenham Hotspur FC39%
Draw25%
Hull City AFC36%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
-2 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
0.5 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
Season win rate
0%Tottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
50%Hull City AFC · n=4
Average points conceded
2.67 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
1 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
Average points scored
0.67 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
1.5 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Tottenham Hotspur FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Hull City AFC fell from 100% to 0%.
Tottenham Hotspur FC · n=3Hull City AFC · n=4
8/22/2026 → 9/19/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Tottenham Hotspur FC · 8/22/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Tottenham Hotspur FC · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Tottenham Hotspur FC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Hull City AFC · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull City AFC · 8/29/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull City AFC · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Hull City AFC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationTottenham Hotspur FC average 1.00 goals scored per match against an Hull City AFC record of 2.00 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.00 scored versus 1.50 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationTottenham Hotspur FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 1-3-6; Hull City AFC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 1-2-7.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factHull City 1-7 Tottenham Hotspur on 21 May 2017.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Tottenham Hotspur FC: 3-2-5; Hull City AFC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 2.9 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–1 Hull City AFC11.5%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 2–1 Hull City AFC8.6%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–2 Hull City AFC8.2%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–0 Hull City AFC8.0%
Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–1 Hull City AFC7.7%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/22/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/28/2026, 12:43:05 AM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Hull City AFC: TIMED
Participants to watch
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Hull City AFC: TIMED.
- • Tottenham Hotspur FC
- • Hull City AFC
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
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- Which matchup could decide this event?
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 8:39 PM
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