Recent-results contrast
Verified source factNewcastle United FC: 4-3-3; Tottenham Hotspur FC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Newcastle United FC
Tottenham Hotspur FC
Newcastle United FC vs Tottenham Hotspur FC
England · Sat, Apr 17, 2027, 2:00 PM
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Football
Newcastle United FCTottenham Hotspur FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Newcastle United FC are favourites
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Newcastle United FC 40% versus Tottenham Hotspur FC 0%, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes newcastle united fc are favourites.
Newcastle United FC are favouritesSeason win rate: Newcastle United FC 40% vs Tottenham Hotspur FC 0%Newcastle United FC 4-3-3; Tottenham Hotspur FC 3-2-5 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionNewcastle United FC are favourites
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Newcastle United FC 40% versus Tottenham Hotspur FC 0%, using the displayed verified samples.
Newcastle United FC54%
Draw22%
Tottenham Hotspur FC24%
Reconciled comparison
Season win rate
40%Newcastle United FC · n=5
0%Tottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
Average points margin
0 pointsNewcastle United FC · n=5
-2 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
Average points scored
1.8 pointsNewcastle United FC · n=5
0.67 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
Average points conceded
1.8 pointsNewcastle United FC · n=5
2.67 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Newcastle United FC rose from 0% to 100%. Tottenham Hotspur FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
Newcastle United FC · n=5Tottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
8/22/2026 → 9/19/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Newcastle United FC · 8/23/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Newcastle United FC · 8/29/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Newcastle United FC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Newcastle United FC · 9/14/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Newcastle United FC · 9/19/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Tottenham Hotspur FC · 8/22/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Tottenham Hotspur FC · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Tottenham Hotspur FC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationNewcastle United FC average 1.60 goals scored per match against an Tottenham Hotspur FC record of 1.50 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.00 scored versus 1.50 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationNewcastle United FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 4-2-4; Tottenham Hotspur FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 2-2-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factTottenham Hotspur FC 0-2 Newcastle United FC on 29 Aug 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Newcastle United FC: 4-3-3; Tottenham Hotspur FC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.2 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 6.0 · n=6,098
Newcastle United FC 1–1 Tottenham Hotspur FC10.1%
Newcastle United FC 2–1 Tottenham Hotspur FC9.7%
Newcastle United FC 1–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC8.1%
Newcastle United FC 2–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC7.8%
Newcastle United FC 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur FC6.2%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/23/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/19/2026, 2:03:15 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
Venue / location
- • England
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Updated Oct 19, 2026, 2:02 PM
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