Recent-results contrast
Verified source factSunderland AFC: 3-2-5; Ipswich Town FC: 2-1-7 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Sunderland AFC
Ipswich Town FC
Sunderland AFC vs Ipswich Town FC
England · Sat, Apr 10, 2027, 2:00 PM
Event preview
Football
Sunderland AFCIpswich Town FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Sunderland AFC have a narrow statistical edge
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Ipswich Town FC 40% versus Sunderland AFC 20%, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes sunderland afc have a narrow statistical edge.
Sunderland AFC have a narrow statistical edgeSeason win rate: Sunderland AFC 20% vs Ipswich Town FC 40%Sunderland AFC 3-2-5; Ipswich Town FC 2-1-7 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionSunderland AFC have a narrow statistical edge
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Ipswich Town FC 40% versus Sunderland AFC 20%, using the displayed verified samples.
Sunderland AFC50%
Draw23%
Ipswich Town FC27%
Reconciled comparison
Season win rate
20%Sunderland AFC · n=5
40%Ipswich Town FC · n=5
Average points scored
1.2 pointsSunderland AFC · n=5
1.4 pointsIpswich Town FC · n=5
Average points conceded
2 pointsSunderland AFC · n=5
2.2 pointsIpswich Town FC · n=5
Average points margin
-0.8 pointsSunderland AFC · n=5
-0.8 pointsIpswich Town FC · n=5
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Sunderland AFC was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Ipswich Town FC fell from 100% to 0%.
Sunderland AFC · n=5Ipswich Town FC · n=5
8/22/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Sunderland AFC · 8/22/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Sunderland AFC · 8/30/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Sunderland AFC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Sunderland AFC · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Sunderland AFC · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Ipswich Town FC · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Ipswich Town FC · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Ipswich Town FC · 9/4/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Ipswich Town FC · 9/12/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Ipswich Town FC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationSunderland AFC average 1.50 goals scored per match against an Ipswich Town FC record of 2.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.00 scored versus 2.20 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationSunderland AFC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 5-0-5; Ipswich Town FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 2-2-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factIpswich Town FC 2-1 Sunderland AFC on 22 Aug 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Sunderland AFC: 3-2-5; Ipswich Town FC: 2-1-7 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.1 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Sunderland AFC 1–1 Ipswich Town FC10.7%
Sunderland AFC 2–1 Ipswich Town FC9.5%
Sunderland AFC 1–0 Ipswich Town FC8.4%
Sunderland AFC 2–0 Ipswich Town FC7.5%
Sunderland AFC 1–2 Ipswich Town FC6.8%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/22/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/28/2026, 12:27:41 AM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
What to know
- 1.Ipswich Town FC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
- 2.Ipswich Town FC has 2 wins in the last 5 available results.
Match snapshot
Sunderland AFC
- points
- 4
- position
- 19
Ipswich Town FC
- points
- 9
- position
- 10
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Sunderland AFC vs Ipswich Town FC: TIMED
FansSpace prediction / outlook
Available standings and recent-form evidence supports a cautious comparison, not a numerical forecast.
- • Sunderland AFC are 19 on 4 points.
- • Ipswich Town FC are 10 on 9 points.
- • Uncertainty: this outlook uses only the labelled table and recent-result inputs; it is not a betting-market forecast.
Why it matters
Ipswich Town FC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
Recent form
Ipswich Town FC
L W L W L
current-season league; most recent first
Sunderland AFC
L L L L D
current-season league; most recent first
Standings context
Hull City AFC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 9
Ipswich Town FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 10
Newcastle United FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 8
- position
- 11
Nottingham Forest FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 5
- position
- 18
Sunderland AFC
- played
- 7
- points
- 4
- position
- 19
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- played
- 6
- points
- 3
- position
- 20
Participants to watch
Sunderland AFC vs Ipswich Town FC: TIMED.
- • Sunderland AFC
- • Ipswich Town FC
What a result could mean
- • Ipswich Town FC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
What happens next
- • Ipswich Town FC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 8:35 PM
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