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Tottenham Hotspur FC

Nottingham Forest FC

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Nottingham Forest FC

England · Sat, Mar 13, 2027, 3:00 PM

Event preview

Football

Scheduled
Tottenham Hotspur FCNottingham Forest FC
Original source

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FansSpace Intelligence

Validated forecast + verified evidence

FansSpace Snapshot · what matters now

Nottingham Forest FC have a narrow statistical edge

Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Nottingham Forest FC 25% versus Tottenham Hotspur FC 0%, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes nottingham forest fc have a narrow statistical edge.

Nottingham Forest FC have a narrow statistical edgeSeason win rate: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0% vs Nottingham Forest FC 25%Tottenham Hotspur FC 3-2-5; Nottingham Forest FC 4-3-3 in their latest verified league sample.

The FansSpace Edge

Validated prediction

Nottingham Forest FC have a narrow statistical edge

Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Nottingham Forest FC 25% versus Tottenham Hotspur FC 0%, using the displayed verified samples.

Tottenham Hotspur FC32%
Draw24%
Nottingham Forest FC44%

Reconciled comparison

Season win rate
0%Tottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
25%Nottingham Forest FC · n=4
Average points margin
-2 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
-0.25 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4
Average points conceded
2.67 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
1.25 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4
Average points scored
0.67 pointsTottenham Hotspur FC · n=3
1 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4

FansSpace Momentum

Season win rate momentum

FansSpace calculation

Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.

Tottenham Hotspur FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Nottingham Forest FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%.

FansSpace Match DNA

What makes this matchup distinctive

Recent-results contrast

Verified source fact

Tottenham Hotspur FC: 3-2-5; Nottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3 across last 10 league matches.

Attack versus resistance

FansSpace calculation

Tottenham Hotspur FC average 1.00 goals scored per match against an Nottingham Forest FC record of 1.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 2.00 scored versus 1.50 conceded.

Venue-specific pressure

FansSpace calculation

Tottenham Hotspur FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 1-3-6; Nottingham Forest FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 5-2-3.

Latest verified meeting

Verified source fact

Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-3 Nottingham Forest FC on 22 Mar 2026.

FansSpace What to Watch

Factors that could matter

  1. 1

    Recency-weighted home and away scoring

    Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.

    tested model factor

  2. 2

    Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating

    It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.

    tested model factor

  3. 3

    Recent-results contrast

    Tottenham Hotspur FC: 3-2-5; Nottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3 across last 10 league matches.

    descriptive contrast

FansSpace Outcome Paths

Most plausible scorelines

Validated prediction

The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.

Expected total: 3.0 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098

Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this

Evidence and calculation

Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.

Observation period: 8/22/2026–9/19/2026.

Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.

In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.

Quality and limitations

Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.

Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.

The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.

Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/28/2026, 8:30:28 PM · freshness delayed.

FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away

Your event briefing

Match snapshot

Tottenham Hotspur FC

points
3
position
19

Nottingham Forest FC

points
5
position
15

Latest news & context

  1. 1.Official status: TIMED
  2. 2.Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Nottingham Forest FC: TIMED

Why it matters

Current verified standings: Nottingham Forest FC P15 (1-3-2); Tottenham Hotspur FC P19 (0-3-3).

Standings context

Coventry City FC

played
6
points
6
position
14

Nottingham Forest FC

played
6
points
5
position
15

Aston Villa FC

played
6
points
5
position
16

Sunderland AFC

played
6
points
4
position
17

Tottenham Hotspur FC

played
6
points
3
position
19

Fulham FC

played
6
points
2
position
20

Participants to watch

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Nottingham Forest FC: TIMED.

  • • Tottenham Hotspur FC
  • • Nottingham Forest FC

Venue / location

  • • England

Sources: Competition information · checked 10/27/2026

Fan community

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Updated Oct 29, 2026, 8:18 PM

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