Recent-results contrast
Verified source factArsenal FC: 9-0-1; Fulham FC: 2-2-6 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Arsenal FC
Fulham FC
Arsenal FC vs Fulham FC
England · Sat, Feb 20, 2027, 3:00 PM
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Arsenal FCFulham FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Arsenal FC are favourites
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Arsenal FC 0.8 points versus Fulham FC -0.75 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes arsenal fc are favourites.
Arsenal FC are favouritesAverage points margin: Arsenal FC 0.8 points vs Fulham FC -0.75 pointsArsenal FC 9-0-1; Fulham FC 2-2-6 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionArsenal FC are favourites
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Arsenal FC 0.8 points versus Fulham FC -0.75 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Arsenal FC62%
Draw21%
Fulham FC17%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
0.8 pointsArsenal FC · n=5
-0.75 pointsFulham FC · n=4
Season win rate
80%Arsenal FC · n=5
0%Fulham FC · n=4
Average points conceded
0.8 pointsArsenal FC · n=5
2 pointsFulham FC · n=4
Average points scored
1.6 pointsArsenal FC · n=5
1.25 pointsFulham FC · n=4
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Arsenal FC fell from 100% to 0%. Fulham FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
Arsenal FC · n=5Fulham FC · n=4
8/21/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Arsenal FC · 8/21/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Arsenal FC · 8/31/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Arsenal FC · 9/6/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Arsenal FC · 9/12/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Arsenal FC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 8/24/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · D
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationArsenal FC average 1.60 goals scored per match against an Fulham FC record of 1.50 conceded; the reverse matchup is 0.90 scored versus 0.50 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationArsenal FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 8-0-2; Fulham FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 2-2-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factArsenal FC 3-0 Fulham FC on 2 May 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Arsenal FC: 9-0-1; Fulham FC: 2-2-6 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 2.9 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Arsenal FC 1–0 Fulham FC10.8%
Arsenal FC 2–0 Fulham FC10.8%
Arsenal FC 1–1 Fulham FC9.9%
Arsenal FC 2–1 Fulham FC9.9%
Arsenal FC 3–0 Fulham FC7.2%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/24/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 11:19:37 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Arsenal FC vs Fulham FC: TIMED
Participants to watch
Arsenal FC vs Fulham FC: TIMED.
- • Arsenal FC
- • Fulham FC
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
- Who will win?
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 8:12 PM
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