Recent-results contrast
Verified source factHull City AFC: 3-2-5; Sunderland AFC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Hull City AFC
Sunderland AFC
Hull City AFC vs Sunderland AFC
England · Wed, Feb 10, 2027, 8:00 PM
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Football
Hull City AFCSunderland AFC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Hull City AFC have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull City AFC 0.5 points versus Sunderland AFC -0.8 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes hull city afc have a narrow statistical edge.
Hull City AFC have a narrow statistical edgeAverage points margin: Hull City AFC 0.5 points vs Sunderland AFC -0.8 pointsHull City AFC 3-2-5; Sunderland AFC 3-2-5 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionHull City AFC have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull City AFC 0.5 points versus Sunderland AFC -0.8 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Hull City AFC47%
Draw24%
Sunderland AFC29%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
0.5 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
-0.8 pointsSunderland AFC · n=5
Season win rate
50%Hull City AFC · n=4
20%Sunderland AFC · n=5
Average points conceded
1 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
2 pointsSunderland AFC · n=5
Average points scored
1.5 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
1.2 pointsSunderland AFC · n=5
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Hull City AFC fell from 100% to 0%. Sunderland AFC was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
Hull City AFC · n=4Sunderland AFC · n=5
8/22/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Hull City AFC · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull City AFC · 8/29/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull City AFC · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Hull City AFC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Sunderland AFC · 8/22/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Sunderland AFC · 8/30/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Sunderland AFC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Sunderland AFC · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Sunderland AFC · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationHull City AFC average 1.00 goals scored per match against an Sunderland AFC record of 2.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.50 scored versus 2.00 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationHull City AFC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 7-1-2; Sunderland AFC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 3-3-4.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factHull City 0-2 Sunderland AFC on 6 May 2017.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Hull City AFC: 3-2-5; Sunderland AFC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 2.9 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Hull City AFC 1–1 Sunderland AFC11.3%
Hull City AFC 2–1 Sunderland AFC9.3%
Hull City AFC 1–0 Sunderland AFC8.9%
Hull City AFC 2–0 Sunderland AFC7.4%
Hull City AFC 1–2 Sunderland AFC7.1%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/22/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 11:09:34 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
What to know
- 1.Hull City AFC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
Match snapshot
Hull City AFC
- points
- 9
- position
- 9
Sunderland AFC
- points
- 4
- position
- 19
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Hull City AFC vs Sunderland AFC: TIMED
FansSpace prediction / outlook
Available standings and recent-form evidence supports a cautious comparison, not a numerical forecast.
- • Hull City AFC are 9 on 9 points.
- • Sunderland AFC are 19 on 4 points.
- • Uncertainty: this outlook uses only the labelled table and recent-result inputs; it is not a betting-market forecast.
Why it matters
Hull City AFC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
Recent form
Hull City AFC
L D L D D
current-season league; most recent first
Sunderland AFC
L L L L D
current-season league; most recent first
Standings context
Everton FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 10
- position
- 8
Hull City AFC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 9
Ipswich Town FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 10
Nottingham Forest FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 5
- position
- 18
Sunderland AFC
- played
- 7
- points
- 4
- position
- 19
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- played
- 6
- points
- 3
- position
- 20
Participants to watch
Hull City AFC vs Sunderland AFC: TIMED.
- • Hull City AFC
- • Sunderland AFC
What a result could mean
- • Hull City AFC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
What happens next
- • Hull City AFC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 8:07 PM
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