Recent-results contrast
Verified source factAFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2; Fulham FC: 2-2-6 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
AFC Bournemouth
Fulham FC
AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham FC
England · Sat, Jan 30, 2027, 3:00 PM
Event preview
Football
AFC BournemouthFulham FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
AFC Bournemouth have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: AFC Bournemouth -0.4 points versus Fulham FC -0.75 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes afc bournemouth have a narrow statistical edge.
AFC Bournemouth have a narrow statistical edgeAverage points margin: AFC Bournemouth -0.4 points vs Fulham FC -0.75 pointsAFC Bournemouth 2-6-2; Fulham FC 2-2-6 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionAFC Bournemouth have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: AFC Bournemouth -0.4 points versus Fulham FC -0.75 points, using the displayed verified samples.
AFC Bournemouth49%
Draw24%
Fulham FC27%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
-0.4 pointsAFC Bournemouth · n=5
-0.75 pointsFulham FC · n=4
Average points conceded
1.6 pointsAFC Bournemouth · n=5
2 pointsFulham FC · n=4
Average points scored
1.2 pointsAFC Bournemouth · n=5
1.25 pointsFulham FC · n=4
Season win rate
0%AFC Bournemouth · n=5
0%Fulham FC · n=4
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
AFC Bournemouth was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Fulham FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
AFC Bournemouth · n=5Fulham FC · n=4
8/23/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–0 percent
Accessible observation details
- AFC Bournemouth · 8/23/2026 · 0 percent · L
- AFC Bournemouth · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · D
- AFC Bournemouth · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- AFC Bournemouth · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- AFC Bournemouth · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 8/24/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · D
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationAFC Bournemouth average 1.40 goals scored per match against an Fulham FC record of 1.50 conceded; the reverse matchup is 0.90 scored versus 1.20 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationAFC Bournemouth's latest 10 verified home matches produced 2-7-1; Fulham FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 2-2-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factFulham FC 0-1 AFC Bournemouth on 9 May 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
AFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2; Fulham FC: 2-2-6 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 2.9 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Fulham FC11.1%
AFC Bournemouth 2–1 Fulham FC9.5%
AFC Bournemouth 1–0 Fulham FC9.2%
AFC Bournemouth 2–0 Fulham FC7.8%
AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Fulham FC6.8%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/24/2026–9/20/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 10:44:28 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Match snapshot
AFC Bournemouth
- points
- 3
- overall
- 0-3-3
- position
- 18
Fulham FC
- points
- 2
- position
- 20
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham FC: TIMED
Why it matters
Current verified standings: AFC Bournemouth P18 in 2026-27 English Premier League (0-3-3); Fulham FC P20 (0-4-2).
Available recent results
The available samples are incomplete or not comparable, so FansSpace is not naming an in-form side.
AFC Bournemouth
W L L D D
recent events; most recent first
2026-27 English Premier League standings
Positions are scoped to 2026-27 English Premier League; unrelated groups are excluded.
Sunderland
- played
- 6
- points
- 4
- overall
- 1-1-4
- position
- 17
AFC Bournemouth
- played
- 6
- points
- 3
- overall
- 0-3-3
- position
- 18
Tottenham Hotspur
- played
- 6
- points
- 3
- overall
- 0-3-3
- position
- 19
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- played
- 6
- points
- 3
- position
- 19
Fulham FC
- played
- 6
- points
- 2
- position
- 20
Participants to watch
AFC Bournemouth vs Fulham FC: TIMED.
- • AFC Bournemouth
- • Fulham FC
Venue / location
- • England
Sources: Competition information · checked 10/27/2026
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Updated Oct 29, 2026, 10:10 PM
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