Recent-results contrast
Verified source factFulham FC: 2-2-6; Aston Villa FC: 4-1-5 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Fulham FC
Aston Villa FC
Fulham FC vs Aston Villa FC
England · Sat, Jan 23, 2027, 3:00 PM
Event preview
Football
Fulham FCAston Villa FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
No clear favourite
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Aston Villa FC 25% versus Fulham FC 0%, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes no clear favourite.
No clear favouriteSeason win rate: Fulham FC 0% vs Aston Villa FC 25%Fulham FC 2-2-6; Aston Villa FC 4-1-5 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionNo clear favourite
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Aston Villa FC 25% versus Fulham FC 0%, using the displayed verified samples.
Fulham FC39%
Draw24%
Aston Villa FC37%
Reconciled comparison
Season win rate
0%Fulham FC · n=4
25%Aston Villa FC · n=4
Average points margin
-0.75 pointsFulham FC · n=4
-1.25 pointsAston Villa FC · n=4
Average points scored
1.25 pointsFulham FC · n=4
1 pointsAston Villa FC · n=4
Average points conceded
2 pointsFulham FC · n=4
2.25 pointsAston Villa FC · n=4
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Fulham FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Aston Villa FC rose from 0% to 100%.
Fulham FC · n=4Aston Villa FC · n=4
8/23/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Fulham FC · 8/24/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Aston Villa FC · 8/23/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Aston Villa FC · 8/31/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Aston Villa FC · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Aston Villa FC · 9/19/2026 · 100 percent · W
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationFulham FC average 0.90 goals scored per match against an Aston Villa FC record of 2.00 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.70 scored versus 1.50 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationFulham FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 4-1-5; Aston Villa FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 3-3-4.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factFulham FC 1-0 Aston Villa FC on 25 Apr 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Fulham FC: 2-2-6; Aston Villa FC: 4-1-5 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.0 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Fulham FC 1–1 Aston Villa FC11.3%
Fulham FC 2–1 Aston Villa FC8.5%
Fulham FC 1–2 Aston Villa FC8.3%
Fulham FC 1–0 Aston Villa FC7.6%
Fulham FC 0–1 Aston Villa FC7.5%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/24/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 10:33:53 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
What to know
- 1.Aston Villa FC would move from 11 to 14 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to position 5.
- 2.Aston Villa FC has 3 wins in the last 5 available results.
Match snapshot
Fulham FC
- points
- 8
- position
- 15
Aston Villa FC
- points
- 11
- position
- 9
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Fulham FC vs Aston Villa FC: TIMED
FansSpace prediction / outlook
Available standings and recent-form evidence supports a cautious comparison, not a numerical forecast.
- • Fulham FC are 15 on 8 points.
- • Aston Villa FC are 9 on 11 points.
- • Uncertainty: this outlook uses only the labelled table and recent-result inputs; it is not a betting-market forecast.
Why it matters
Aston Villa FC would move from 11 to 14 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to position 5.
Recent form
Aston Villa FC
W W D W L
current-season league; most recent first
Fulham FC
W W L D D
current-season league; most recent first
Standings context
Newcastle United FC
- played
- 8
- points
- 11
- position
- 8
Aston Villa FC
- played
- 8
- points
- 11
- position
- 9
Hull City AFC
- played
- 8
- points
- 10
- position
- 10
Tottenham Hotspur FC
- played
- 8
- points
- 9
- position
- 14
Fulham FC
- played
- 8
- points
- 8
- position
- 15
Manchester United FC
- played
- 8
- points
- 7
- position
- 16
Participants to watch
Fulham FC vs Aston Villa FC: TIMED.
- • Fulham FC
- • Aston Villa FC
What a result could mean
- • Aston Villa FC would move from 11 to 14 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to position 5.
What happens next
- • Aston Villa FC would move from 11 to 14 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to position 5.
History & records
- • Founded: 1992
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
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- Which matchup could decide this event?
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Updated Oct 31, 2026, 7:31 AM
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