Recent-results contrast
Verified source factAFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2; Ipswich Town FC: 2-1-7 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
AFC Bournemouth
Ipswich Town FC
AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town FC
England · Sat, Jan 16, 2027, 3:00 PM
Event preview
Football
AFC BournemouthIpswich Town FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
AFC Bournemouth are favourites
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Ipswich Town FC 40% versus AFC Bournemouth 0%, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes afc bournemouth are favourites.
AFC Bournemouth are favouritesSeason win rate: AFC Bournemouth 0% vs Ipswich Town FC 40%AFC Bournemouth 2-6-2; Ipswich Town FC 2-1-7 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionAFC Bournemouth are favourites
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Ipswich Town FC 40% versus AFC Bournemouth 0%, using the displayed verified samples.
AFC Bournemouth58%
Draw21%
Ipswich Town FC21%
Reconciled comparison
Season win rate
0%AFC Bournemouth · n=5
40%Ipswich Town FC · n=5
Average points margin
-0.4 pointsAFC Bournemouth · n=5
-0.8 pointsIpswich Town FC · n=5
Average points conceded
1.6 pointsAFC Bournemouth · n=5
2.2 pointsIpswich Town FC · n=5
Average points scored
1.2 pointsAFC Bournemouth · n=5
1.4 pointsIpswich Town FC · n=5
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
AFC Bournemouth was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Ipswich Town FC fell from 100% to 0%.
AFC Bournemouth · n=5Ipswich Town FC · n=5
8/22/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- AFC Bournemouth · 8/23/2026 · 0 percent · L
- AFC Bournemouth · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · D
- AFC Bournemouth · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- AFC Bournemouth · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- AFC Bournemouth · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Ipswich Town FC · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Ipswich Town FC · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Ipswich Town FC · 9/4/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Ipswich Town FC · 9/12/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Ipswich Town FC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationAFC Bournemouth average 1.40 goals scored per match against an Ipswich Town FC record of 2.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.00 scored versus 1.20 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationAFC Bournemouth's latest 10 verified home matches produced 2-7-1; Ipswich Town FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 2-2-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factAFC Bournemouth 1-2 Ipswich Town FC on 2 Apr 2025.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
AFC Bournemouth: 2-6-2; Ipswich Town FC: 2-1-7 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.2 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 6.0 · n=6,098
AFC Bournemouth 2–1 Ipswich Town FC9.8%
AFC Bournemouth 1–1 Ipswich Town FC9.6%
AFC Bournemouth 2–0 Ipswich Town FC8.5%
AFC Bournemouth 1–0 Ipswich Town FC8.3%
AFC Bournemouth 3–1 Ipswich Town FC6.7%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/23/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 10:21:52 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
What to know
- 1.AFC Bournemouth would move from 6 to 9 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 9–11, depending on tiebreakers.
- 2.Ipswich Town FC has 2 wins in the last 5 available results.
Match snapshot
AFC Bournemouth
- points
- 6
- position
- 15
Ipswich Town FC
- points
- 9
- position
- 10
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town FC: TIMED
FansSpace prediction / outlook
Available standings and recent-form evidence supports a cautious comparison, not a numerical forecast.
- • AFC Bournemouth are 15 on 6 points.
- • Ipswich Town FC are 10 on 9 points.
- • Uncertainty: this outlook uses only the labelled table and recent-result inputs; it is not a betting-market forecast.
Why it matters
AFC Bournemouth would move from 6 to 9 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 9–11, depending on tiebreakers.
Recent form
AFC Bournemouth
W L L D D
current-season league; most recent first
Ipswich Town FC
L W L W L
current-season league; most recent first
Standings context
Hull City AFC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 9
Ipswich Town FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 10
Newcastle United FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 8
- position
- 11
Crystal Palace FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 7
- position
- 14
AFC Bournemouth
- played
- 7
- points
- 6
- position
- 15
Coventry City FC
- played
- 6
- points
- 6
- position
- 16
Participants to watch
AFC Bournemouth vs Ipswich Town FC: TIMED.
- • AFC Bournemouth
- • Ipswich Town FC
What a result could mean
- • AFC Bournemouth would move from 6 to 9 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 9–11, depending on tiebreakers.
What happens next
- • AFC Bournemouth would move from 6 to 9 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 9–11, depending on tiebreakers.
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 7:52 PM
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