Recent-results contrast
Verified source factNottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3; Everton FC: 2-4-4 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL



Nottingham Forest FC
Everton FC
England · Sat, Dec 19, 2026, 3:00 PM
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Everton FC 0.75 points versus Nottingham Forest FC -0.25 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes no clear favourite.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionAverage points margin separates the participants most clearly: Everton FC 0.75 points versus Nottingham Forest FC -0.25 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Reconciled comparison
FansSpace Momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Nottingham Forest FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Everton FC was unchanged from 100% to 100%.
FansSpace Match DNA
Nottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3; Everton FC: 2-4-4 across last 10 league matches.
Nottingham Forest FC average 2.00 goals scored per match against an Everton FC record of 1.60 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.40 scored versus 1.20 conceded.
Nottingham Forest FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 1-4-5; Everton FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 3-4-3.
Nottingham Forest FC 0-2 Everton FC on 30 Dec 2025.
FansSpace What to Watch
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
Recent-results contrast
Nottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3; Everton FC: 2-4-4 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 2.7 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/22/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 9:00:05 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Latest news & context
Nottingham Forest FC vs Everton FC: TIMED.
Fan community
Updated Oct 27, 2026, 7:28 PM
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