Recent-results contrast
Verified source factEverton FC: 2-4-4; Fulham FC: 2-2-6 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Everton FC
Fulham FC
Everton FC vs Fulham FC
England · Sun, Dec 6, 2026, 2:00 PM
Event preview
Football
Everton FCFulham FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Everton FC have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Everton FC 0.75 points versus Fulham FC -0.75 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes everton fc have a narrow statistical edge.
Everton FC have a narrow statistical edgeAverage points margin: Everton FC 0.75 points vs Fulham FC -0.75 pointsEverton FC 2-4-4; Fulham FC 2-2-6 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionEverton FC have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Everton FC 0.75 points versus Fulham FC -0.75 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Everton FC46%
Draw25%
Fulham FC29%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
0.75 pointsEverton FC · n=4
-0.75 pointsFulham FC · n=4
Season win rate
50%Everton FC · n=4
0%Fulham FC · n=4
Average points conceded
0.75 pointsEverton FC · n=4
2 pointsFulham FC · n=4
Average points scored
1.5 pointsEverton FC · n=4
1.25 pointsFulham FC · n=4
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Everton FC was unchanged from 100% to 100%. Fulham FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%.
Everton FC · n=4Fulham FC · n=4
8/22/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Everton FC · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Everton FC · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Everton FC · 9/6/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Everton FC · 9/19/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Fulham FC · 8/24/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · D
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationEverton FC average 1.40 goals scored per match against an Fulham FC record of 1.50 conceded; the reverse matchup is 0.90 scored versus 1.60 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationEverton FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 4-2-4; Fulham FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 2-2-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factFulham FC 1-2 Everton FC on 7 Feb 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Everton FC: 2-4-4; Fulham FC: 2-2-6 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 2.8 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Everton FC 1–1 Fulham FC11.7%
Everton FC 1–0 Fulham FC9.7%
Everton FC 2–1 Fulham FC9.3%
Everton FC 2–0 Fulham FC7.7%
Everton FC 0–1 Fulham FC7.4%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/24/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 8:41:38 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
What to know
- 1.Everton FC would move from 10 to 13 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 4–5, depending on tiebreakers.
Match snapshot
Everton FC
- points
- 10
- position
- 8
Fulham FC
- points
- 5
- position
- 17
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Everton FC vs Fulham FC: TIMED
FansSpace prediction / outlook
Available standings and recent-form evidence supports a cautious comparison, not a numerical forecast.
- • Everton FC are 8 on 10 points.
- • Fulham FC are 17 on 5 points.
- • Uncertainty: this outlook uses only the labelled table and recent-result inputs; it is not a betting-market forecast.
Why it matters
Everton FC would move from 10 to 13 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 4–5, depending on tiebreakers.
Recent form
Everton FC
L D W D D
current-season league; most recent first
Fulham FC
W L D D L
current-season league; most recent first
Standings context
Leeds United FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 10
- position
- 7
Everton FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 10
- position
- 8
Hull City AFC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 9
Coventry City FC
- played
- 6
- points
- 6
- position
- 16
Fulham FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 5
- position
- 17
Nottingham Forest FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 5
- position
- 18
Participants to watch
Everton FC vs Fulham FC: TIMED.
- • Everton FC
- • Fulham FC
What a result could mean
- • Everton FC would move from 10 to 13 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 4–5, depending on tiebreakers.
What happens next
- • Everton FC would move from 10 to 13 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 4–5, depending on tiebreakers.
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 7:13 PM
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