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Hull City AFC crest
VS
Nottingham Forest FC crest

Hull City AFC

Nottingham Forest FC

Hull City AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC

England · Wed, Dec 2, 2026, 7:30 PM

Event preview

Football

Scheduled
Hull City AFCNottingham Forest FC
Original source

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Checking eligible predictions for Hull City AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC…

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FansSpace Intelligence

Validated forecast + verified evidence

FansSpace Snapshot · what matters now

No clear favourite

Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull City AFC 0.5 points versus Nottingham Forest FC -0.25 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes no clear favourite.

No clear favouriteAverage points margin: Hull City AFC 0.5 points vs Nottingham Forest FC -0.25 pointsHull City AFC 3-2-5; Nottingham Forest FC 4-3-3 in their latest verified league sample.

The FansSpace Edge

Validated prediction

No clear favourite

Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Hull City AFC 0.5 points versus Nottingham Forest FC -0.25 points, using the displayed verified samples.

Hull City AFC38%
Draw25%
Nottingham Forest FC37%

Reconciled comparison

Average points margin
0.5 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
-0.25 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4
Season win rate
50%Hull City AFC · n=4
25%Nottingham Forest FC · n=4
Average points scored
1.5 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
1 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4
Average points conceded
1 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
1.25 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4

FansSpace Momentum

Season win rate momentum

FansSpace calculation

Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.

Hull City AFC fell from 100% to 0%. Nottingham Forest FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%.

FansSpace Match DNA

What makes this matchup distinctive

Recent-results contrast

Verified source fact

Hull City AFC: 3-2-5; Nottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3 across last 10 league matches.

Attack versus resistance

FansSpace calculation

Hull City AFC average 1.00 goals scored per match against an Nottingham Forest FC record of 1.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 2.00 scored versus 2.00 conceded.

Venue-specific pressure

FansSpace calculation

Hull City AFC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 7-1-2; Nottingham Forest FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 5-2-3.

FansSpace What to Watch

Factors that could matter

  1. 1

    Recency-weighted home and away scoring

    Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.

    tested model factor

  2. 2

    Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating

    It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.

    tested model factor

  3. 3

    Recent-results contrast

    Hull City AFC: 3-2-5; Nottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3 across last 10 league matches.

    descriptive contrast

FansSpace Outcome Paths

Most plausible scorelines

Validated prediction

The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.

Expected total: 2.9 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098

Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this

Evidence and calculation

Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.

Observation period: 8/22/2026–9/19/2026.

Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.

In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.

Quality and limitations

Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.

Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.

Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 8:23:17 PM · freshness delayed.

FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away

Your event briefing

What to know

  1. 1.Hull City AFC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.
  2. 2.Nottingham Forest FC has 1 wins in the last 5 available results.

Match snapshot

Hull City AFC

points
9
position
9

Nottingham Forest FC

points
5
position
18

Latest news & context

  1. 1.Official status: TIMED
  2. 2.Hull City AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC: TIMED

FansSpace prediction / outlook

Available standings and recent-form evidence supports a cautious comparison, not a numerical forecast.

  • • Hull City AFC are 9 on 9 points.
  • • Nottingham Forest FC are 18 on 5 points.
  • • Uncertainty: this outlook uses only the labelled table and recent-result inputs; it is not a betting-market forecast.

Why it matters

Hull City AFC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.

Recent form

Hull City AFC
L D L D D
current-season league; most recent first
Nottingham Forest FC
L L L W D
current-season league; most recent first

Standings context

Everton FC

played
7
points
10
position
8

Hull City AFC

played
7
points
9
position
9

Ipswich Town FC

played
7
points
9
position
10

Fulham FC

played
7
points
5
position
17

Nottingham Forest FC

played
7
points
5
position
18

Sunderland AFC

played
7
points
4
position
19

Participants to watch

Hull City AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC: TIMED.

  • • Hull City AFC
  • • Nottingham Forest FC

What a result could mean

  • • Hull City AFC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.

What happens next

  • • Hull City AFC would move from 9 to 12 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to positions 5–6, depending on tiebreakers.

History & records

  • • Founded: 1894

Venue / location

  • • England

Fan community

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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 7:08 PM

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