Recent-results contrast
Verified source factNottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3; Chelsea FC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Nottingham Forest FC
Chelsea FC
Nottingham Forest FC vs Chelsea FC
England · Fri, Nov 27, 2026, 8:00 PM
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Nottingham Forest FCChelsea FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
No clear favourite
Average points scored separates the participants most clearly: Chelsea FC 2 points versus Nottingham Forest FC 1 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes no clear favourite.
No clear favouriteAverage points scored: Nottingham Forest FC 1 points vs Chelsea FC 2 pointsNottingham Forest FC 4-3-3; Chelsea FC 3-2-5 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionNo clear favourite
Average points scored separates the participants most clearly: Chelsea FC 2 points versus Nottingham Forest FC 1 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Nottingham Forest FC42%
Draw24%
Chelsea FC34%
Reconciled comparison
Average points scored
1 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4
2 pointsChelsea FC · n=5
Average points conceded
1.25 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4
2.4 pointsChelsea FC · n=5
Season win rate
25%Nottingham Forest FC · n=4
40%Chelsea FC · n=5
Average points margin
-0.25 pointsNottingham Forest FC · n=4
-0.4 pointsChelsea FC · n=5
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Nottingham Forest FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Chelsea FC fell from 100% to 0%.
Nottingham Forest FC · n=4Chelsea FC · n=5
8/22/2026 → 9/19/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Nottingham Forest FC · 8/22/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Nottingham Forest FC · 8/29/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Nottingham Forest FC · 9/12/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Nottingham Forest FC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Chelsea FC · 8/24/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Chelsea FC · 8/30/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Chelsea FC · 9/6/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Chelsea FC · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Chelsea FC · 9/18/2026 · 0 percent · L
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationNottingham Forest FC average 2.00 goals scored per match against an Chelsea FC record of 2.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.50 scored versus 1.20 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationNottingham Forest FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 1-4-5; Chelsea FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 3-1-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factChelsea FC 1-3 Nottingham Forest FC on 4 May 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Nottingham Forest FC: 4-3-3; Chelsea FC: 3-2-5 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/24/2026–9/18/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Outcome Paths are withheld until a validated sport-state distribution adds evidence beyond the released forecast.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/14/2026, 10:36:11 AM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Nottingham Forest FC vs Chelsea FC: TIMED
Participants to watch
Nottingham Forest FC vs Chelsea FC: TIMED.
- • Nottingham Forest FC
- • Chelsea FC
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
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Updated Oct 28, 2026, 2:51 AM
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