Recent-results contrast
Verified source factHull City AFC: 3-2-5; Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 5-1-4 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Hull City AFC
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
England · Sun, Nov 22, 2026, 2:00 PM
Event preview
Football
Hull City AFCBrighton & Hove Albion FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2.2 points versus Hull City AFC 0.5 points, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes brighton & hove albion fc have a narrow statistical edge.
Brighton & Hove Albion FC have a narrow statistical edgeAverage points margin: Hull City AFC 0.5 points vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2.2 pointsHull City AFC 3-2-5; Brighton & Hove Albion FC 5-1-4 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionBrighton & Hove Albion FC have a narrow statistical edge
Average points margin separates the participants most clearly: Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2.2 points versus Hull City AFC 0.5 points, using the displayed verified samples.
Hull City AFC32%
Draw24%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC44%
Reconciled comparison
Average points margin
0.5 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
2.2 pointsBrighton & Hove Albion FC · n=5
Average points scored
1.5 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
3.2 pointsBrighton & Hove Albion FC · n=5
Season win rate
50%Hull City AFC · n=4
60%Brighton & Hove Albion FC · n=5
Average points conceded
1 pointsHull City AFC · n=4
1 pointsBrighton & Hove Albion FC · n=5
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Hull City AFC fell from 100% to 0%. Brighton & Hove Albion FC was unchanged from 100% to 100%.
Hull City AFC · n=4Brighton & Hove Albion FC · n=5
8/22/2026 → 9/19/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Hull City AFC · 8/22/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull City AFC · 8/29/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Hull City AFC · 9/12/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Hull City AFC · 9/19/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 8/23/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 9/13/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 9/19/2026 · 100 percent · W
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationHull City AFC average 1.00 goals scored per match against an Brighton & Hove Albion FC record of 1.20 conceded; the reverse matchup is 2.30 scored versus 2.00 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationHull City AFC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 7-1-2; Brighton & Hove Albion FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 4-1-5.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Hull City AFC: 3-2-5; Brighton & Hove Albion FC: 5-1-4 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.0 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Hull City AFC 1–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC11.2%
Hull City AFC 1–2 Brighton & Hove Albion FC9.1%
Hull City AFC 0–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC8.3%
Hull City AFC 2–1 Brighton & Hove Albion FC7.6%
Hull City AFC 1–0 Brighton & Hove Albion FC6.9%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/23/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 7:59:44 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · weeks away
Your event briefing
What to know
- 1.Brighton & Hove Albion FC would move from 16 to 19 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to position 2.
- 2.Brighton & Hove Albion FC has 4 wins in the last 5 available results.
Match snapshot
Hull City AFC
- points
- 9
- position
- 9
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
- points
- 16
- position
- 3
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC: TIMED
FansSpace prediction / outlook
Available standings and recent-form evidence supports a cautious comparison, not a numerical forecast.
- • Hull City AFC are 9 on 9 points.
- • Brighton & Hove Albion FC are 3 on 16 points.
- • Uncertainty: this outlook uses only the labelled table and recent-result inputs; it is not a betting-market forecast.
Why it matters
Brighton & Hove Albion FC would move from 16 to 19 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to position 2.
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
W W W W D
current-season league; most recent first
Hull City AFC
L D L D D
current-season league; most recent first
Standings context
Arsenal FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 18
- position
- 2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 16
- position
- 3
Chelsea FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 13
- position
- 4
Everton FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 10
- position
- 8
Hull City AFC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 9
Ipswich Town FC
- played
- 7
- points
- 9
- position
- 10
Participants to watch
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC: TIMED.
- • Hull City AFC
- • Brighton & Hove Albion FC
What a result could mean
- • Brighton & Hove Albion FC would move from 16 to 19 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to position 2.
What happens next
- • Brighton & Hove Albion FC would move from 16 to 19 points with a win; with every other points total held unchanged, that corresponds to position 2.
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
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- Which matchup could decide this event?
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 6:59 PM
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