Recent-results contrast
Verified source factFulham FC: 2-2-6; Newcastle United FC: 4-3-3 across last 10 league matches.
FOOTBALL
Fulham FC
Newcastle United FC
Fulham FC vs Newcastle United FC
England · Sat, Nov 7, 2026, 3:00 PM
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Football
Fulham FCNewcastle United FC
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FansSpace Intelligence
Validated forecast + verified evidenceFansSpace Snapshot · what matters now
No clear favourite
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Newcastle United FC 40% versus Fulham FC 0%, using the displayed verified samples. The released model nevertheless weighs the full evaluated factor set and makes no clear favourite.
No clear favouriteSeason win rate: Fulham FC 0% vs Newcastle United FC 40%Fulham FC 2-2-6; Newcastle United FC 4-3-3 in their latest verified league sample.
The FansSpace Edge
Validated predictionNo clear favourite
Season win rate separates the participants most clearly: Newcastle United FC 40% versus Fulham FC 0%, using the displayed verified samples.
Fulham FC39%
Draw24%
Newcastle United FC37%
Reconciled comparison
Season win rate
0%Fulham FC · n=4
40%Newcastle United FC · n=5
Average points margin
-0.75 pointsFulham FC · n=4
0 pointsNewcastle United FC · n=5
Average points scored
1.25 pointsFulham FC · n=4
1.8 pointsNewcastle United FC · n=5
Average points conceded
2 pointsFulham FC · n=4
1.8 pointsNewcastle United FC · n=5
FansSpace Momentum
Season win rate momentum
Every point is a time-ordered verified event. Lines connect observations only; they are not smoothed or projected.
Fulham FC was unchanged from 0% to 0%. Newcastle United FC rose from 0% to 100%.
Fulham FC · n=4Newcastle United FC · n=5
8/23/2026 → 9/20/2026Axis 0–100 percent
Accessible observation details
- Fulham FC · 8/24/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 8/30/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Fulham FC · 9/20/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Newcastle United FC · 8/23/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Newcastle United FC · 8/29/2026 · 100 percent · W
- Newcastle United FC · 9/5/2026 · 0 percent · D
- Newcastle United FC · 9/14/2026 · 0 percent · L
- Newcastle United FC · 9/19/2026 · 100 percent · W
FansSpace Match DNA
What makes this matchup distinctive
Attack versus resistance
FansSpace calculationFulham FC average 0.90 goals scored per match against an Newcastle United FC record of 1.50 conceded; the reverse matchup is 1.60 scored versus 1.50 conceded.
Venue-specific pressure
FansSpace calculationFulham FC's latest 10 verified home matches produced 4-1-5; Newcastle United FC's latest 10 verified away matches produced 3-1-6.
Latest verified meeting
Verified source factFulham FC 2-0 Newcastle United FC on 24 May 2026.
FansSpace What to Watch
Factors that could matter
- 1
Recency-weighted home and away scoring
Venue can change scoring and win rates, so the model evaluates the role each participant has in this fixture.
tested model factor
- 2
Chronological opponent-adjusted team rating
It discounts results earned against weaker opposition, making recent records more comparable.
tested model factor
- 3
Recent-results contrast
Fulham FC: 2-2-6; Newcastle United FC: 4-3-3 across last 10 league matches.
descriptive contrast
FansSpace Outcome Paths
Most plausible scorelines
The leading scorelines use fitted goal intensities. Their probabilities are distinct paths and are not resampled winner probabilities.
Expected total: 3.0 goals · 80% fitted range 1.0 to 5.0 · n=6,098
Fulham FC 1–1 Newcastle United FC11.2%
Fulham FC 2–1 Newcastle United FC8.5%
Fulham FC 1–2 Newcastle United FC8.3%
Fulham FC 1–0 Newcastle United FC7.6%
Fulham FC 0–1 Newcastle United FC7.4%
Behind the Insight · how FansSpace knows this
Evidence and calculation
Sources: OpenFootball, FansSpace validated model output.
Observation period: 8/24/2026–9/19/2026.
Football scoring model: estimates each team’s scoring rate from earlier results, opponent strength and home/away effects, then converts possible scorelines into win, draw and loss chances.
In an internal time-ordered test of 786 past events, this model performed better than its comparison model. That is useful evidence, but it is not an independent audit or a promise about this event.
Quality and limitations
Internal chronological test: 786 held-out forecasts · Apr 26, 2023–Sep 20, 2026.
Brier score 0.584 · Recorded comparison benchmark 0.667 · calibration gap 2.5%.
The verified match count differs between participants; each denominator is shown.
Composition fansspace-intelligence-composition-v2 · calculated 10/27/2026, 7:28:05 PM · freshness delayed.
FansSpace Event Companion · upcoming
Your event briefing
Latest news & context
- 1.Official status: TIMED
- 2.Fulham FC vs Newcastle United FC: TIMED
Participants to watch
Fulham FC vs Newcastle United FC: TIMED.
- • Fulham FC
- • Newcastle United FC
History & records
- • Founded: 1894
Venue / location
- • England
Fan community
- Who will win?
- Which matchup could decide this event?
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Updated Oct 27, 2026, 6:54 PM
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